Simon Willison’s Weblog

Politico: 5 Questions for Jack Clark (via) I tend to ignore statements with this much future-facing hype, especially when they come from AI labs who are both raising money and trying to influence US technical policy.

Anthropic's Jack Clark has an excellent long-running newsletter which causes me to take him more seriously than many other sources.

Jack says:

In 2025 myself and @AnthropicAI will be more forthright about our views on AI, especially the speed with which powerful things are arriving.

In response to Politico's question "What’s one underrated big idea?" Jack replied:

People underrate how significant and fast-moving AI progress is. We have this notion that in late 2026, or early 2027, powerful AI systems will be built that will have intellectual capabilities that match or exceed Nobel Prize winners. They’ll have the ability to navigate all of the interfaces… they will have the ability to autonomously reason over kind of complex tasks for extended periods. They’ll also have the ability to interface with the physical world by operating drones or robots. Massive, powerful things are beginning to come into view, and we’re all underrating how significant that will be.