Scaling laws allow us to precisely predict some coarse-but-useful measures of how capable future models will be as we scale them up along three dimensions: the amount of data they are fed, their size (measured in parameters), and the amount of computation used to train them (measured in FLOPs). [...] Our ability to make this kind of precise prediction is unusual in the history of software and unusual even in the history of modern AI research. It is also a powerful tool for driving investment since it allows R&D teams to propose model-training projects costing many millions of dollars, with reasonable confidence that these projects will succeed at producing economically valuable systems.
Recent articles
- Weeknotes: asynchronous LLMs, synchronous embeddings, and I kind of started a podcast - 22nd November 2024
- Notes from Bing Chat—Our First Encounter With Manipulative AI - 19th November 2024
- Project: Civic Band - scraping and searching PDF meeting minutes from hundreds of municipalities - 16th November 2024